Yes at moment after 22 rounds it seems impossible, one of the trio Karjakin, Grischuk or Andreikin will probably be the champ.

Oh yes, Carlsen has never been known to bounce back ...hmmmmm

@bigga You place too much value on being number 1; means nothing really. The concept of "world champion" involves much more than leading a pack of top ten.
Its the players whole personality and many years of dedication and the months long struggle that make fighting for the world championship title so dog gone interesting.

true and good point

Rogge: pot-kettle-black

I don't mind at all that Chessvibes only mentions the current top5, one has to stop somewhere. And I don't find it unappetizing that Carlsen's winning chances are mentioned, nor does it make me unhappy, I merely find it a bit odd. Put it that way: if any of the established players who are now ahead of or just behind Carlsen (Grischuk, Ivanchuk, Karjakin, Morozevich, Radjabov) were in Carlsen's situation - 2 points behind the leader, 1 point behind another trio - would Chessvibes mention that they still have winning chances?

I don't think so, so what makes Carlsen special? He is #1 in the world based on classical games, that's undeniably true and has been mentioned more than once. "Carlsen has scored some very strong blitz results" - in the given context this would suggest that he is _always_ stronger than his peers and today's result is a rare outlier. Let's have a look at his Tal Memorial Blitz results:
2008 Ivanchuk 23/33, Kramnik 21.5/33, Carlsen 20.5/33
2009 Carlsen 31/42, Anand 28/42, Karjakin 25/42
2010 Aronian 24.5/38, Radjabov 24/38, Carlsen 23.5/38 [the only time Radjabov participated]
2009 was impressive (but exception rather than rule), the other years weren't bad at all, but all taken together it doesn't imply that Carlsen is simply the best in blitz.
Winning the event would either imply an excellent score (say, 12/15) tomorrow or a good one (better than today's) combined with relatively bad ones for all four players who are now ahead of him. It isn't impossible, but is it likely enough to mention it explicitly?

Well, in the final round Grischuk was a bit like a runner approaching the finish, not caring how close his competitor might come as long as he keeps his lead (BTW are you sure that Carlsen would have been first on tiebreak? Their mini-match was drawn - Grischuk won yesterday - and Mark Crowther tweeted "according to the commentary ... there will be a playoff").

I would say my predictions weren't that bad :) - I wrote that 12/15 would mean first place for Carlsen but he scored "only" 11/15 (3/7 followed by 8/8 !). And I suggested that he might win a medal, but actually expected bronze rather than silver. The main surprise today was Ivanchuk's 5.5/15 (after 9.5/15 yesterday) - at least if a result from Chucky is ever surprising. Chadaev also couldn't quite keep his pace (8/15, then 5.5/15).